Breaking: Latest ONS Vaccination Data

A very first look at the vital datafile that analysts have been patiently waiting for.

The Office for National Statistics released the long-awaited deaths by vaccination status data today. If we compare the two national snapshots using data provided in table 1 we find large increases in deaths and person years for the overlapping period of Apr 2021 - May 2022 plus some changes in ASMR:

We may note some negative deaths, which is rather odd, but even odder is the sudden substantial increase in excess of 1,000 extra deaths for most months for vaccinated non-COVID cases (an astonishing 35,929 extra deaths in total). Just where were those deaths hiding back in July 2022?

The change in person years is likely due to ONS using a different population base (they were criticised for using old census data back in the initial release). Whilst this is a good thing it remains to be seen whether their new data accurately estimates the number of unvaccinated folk - I shall be looking at this in a future article.

The changes in ASMR are rather curious in that the unvaccinated COVID and non-COVID cases have taken a mysterious and rather significant boost. I wonder just what machinations are going on down in the bowels of the machine and, if I’m being completely honest about this, I am somewhat suspicious. Something stinks and it isn’t my over-ripe Camembert!

Data Warriors

If you want to fiddle with the data yourself you can find the latest file here. Meanwhile Joel Smalley has hammered out a cracking article that may be found here - keep your eye on his truly excellent Substack. The magnificent Dr Clare Craig is running a smashing thread or two over on Twitter, as we may expect, and Igor Chudov has found a hole in the bucket. Right now fings ain’t what they seem.

Kettle On!