Hunting For Vaccine Benefit (part 1)

Using UK GOV Dashboard Data And Keeping It Plain And Simple

A fair few analysts are producing evidence of vaccine harm so this morning I decided to play the Devil’s avocado and go in search of some benefit. I wanted to keep this as simple as possible and avoid all that fancy ARIMA  modelling so I opted for the humble cross correlation function plot (CCF), being a succinct visual summary of what is going on within time series data.

Vaccines are alleged to reduce the number of COVID cases so I thought it best to start with this premise. There’s also the issue of delays to benefit, in that our body is supposed to take a while to gear up to the presence of all that synthetic mRNA. Some say 14 days minimum, others say other things but the beauty of CCF is that we don’t need to worry about this for we can analyse all possible delays in one plot!

Then there’s that which we dare not speak of, so I shall hide a few shocking words in italics and shroud them using square brackets otherwise I’ll be declared a COVID change denier… [COVID cases could rise aft…