Weekly all cause death figures published by the Office for National Statistics do not stand up to scrutiny. The evidence indicates we are missing a bunch of young deaths.
I'm afraid not - FOI requests for vaccines by age group are refused. COVID cases by age group have been obtained under FOI and will be analysed shortly but the ONS refuse to provide this by quinary age group, claiming it infringes on 'disclosure' of medical records.
That is certainly odd. But perhaps the data is in the "wrong" database, i. e., a database that has personal information in it and they aren't allowed to query it because of this. It could easily be the case that they didn't forsee analyzing the data in useful ways and are now stuck.
They are allowed to query anything they like but they are not permitted to disclose information that may lead to identification of individuals. Normally they get touchy when cell counts drop to 5 but in the case of COVID/Vx they are extra touchy. Colleagues who have put pressure on assume this is to cover up lack of young COVID death prior to rollout and excess young COVID death post rollout. Whatever the reason they are clearly not being transparent nor acting in the public interest.
Yes indeed, there is surprisingly little temporal variation. In my view we can only quantify vaccine harm at the level of the individual because of the many confounding factors and dubious nature of the national datasets. The bit of modelling I have done using whistleblower EPR data dumps from a sizeable NHS Trust indicates lack of benefit mixed in with harm.
I note the weird drop in excess deaths only seems apply to the 15-54 age groups. Based on what you have previously said, this is likely from lack of accurate data. Is that right?
Has anyone come up with a hypothesis of why the ONS systems would process these data differently?
Elderly folk are usually in the care of a GP who will simply fill out a Medical Certificate of Cause of Death. Those not under medical care at death require the coroner to step in. If the post-mortem results are conclusive then form 100 is issued, otherwise a Coroner's Certificate of the Fact of Death notice is issued, and further investigation takes place (with or without inquest). So it's not so much about age as health status at death that drives delays.
To my eyes, the early 2021 excess peaks are surprisingly not staggered by age group, which one might expect if this were vaccine harm.
Is the number of vaccines given by date and age group data available to be added to the charts?
Ditto the number of cases by age group and date?
I'm afraid not - FOI requests for vaccines by age group are refused. COVID cases by age group have been obtained under FOI and will be analysed shortly but the ONS refuse to provide this by quinary age group, claiming it infringes on 'disclosure' of medical records.
That is certainly odd. But perhaps the data is in the "wrong" database, i. e., a database that has personal information in it and they aren't allowed to query it because of this. It could easily be the case that they didn't forsee analyzing the data in useful ways and are now stuck.
They are allowed to query anything they like but they are not permitted to disclose information that may lead to identification of individuals. Normally they get touchy when cell counts drop to 5 but in the case of COVID/Vx they are extra touchy. Colleagues who have put pressure on assume this is to cover up lack of young COVID death prior to rollout and excess young COVID death post rollout. Whatever the reason they are clearly not being transparent nor acting in the public interest.
Yes indeed, there is surprisingly little temporal variation. In my view we can only quantify vaccine harm at the level of the individual because of the many confounding factors and dubious nature of the national datasets. The bit of modelling I have done using whistleblower EPR data dumps from a sizeable NHS Trust indicates lack of benefit mixed in with harm.
I note the weird drop in excess deaths only seems apply to the 15-54 age groups. Based on what you have previously said, this is likely from lack of accurate data. Is that right?
Has anyone come up with a hypothesis of why the ONS systems would process these data differently?
This is likely arising from delays incurred due to involvement of the coroner.
Yes. But why only in these age groups?
Elderly folk are usually in the care of a GP who will simply fill out a Medical Certificate of Cause of Death. Those not under medical care at death require the coroner to step in. If the post-mortem results are conclusive then form 100 is issued, otherwise a Coroner's Certificate of the Fact of Death notice is issued, and further investigation takes place (with or without inquest). So it's not so much about age as health status at death that drives delays.
Fantastic explanation!
Thanks!