John Dee's Almanac

John Dee's Almanac

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John Dee's Almanac
John Dee's Almanac
Needle To Door Time (part 1)

Needle To Door Time (part 1)

In this series I use survival analysis techniques to investigate delays between vaccination and death for 5,039 cases over the period 2020/w53 – 2021/w36 using data from an undisclosed NHS Trust

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John Dee
Jan 01, 2024
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John Dee's Almanac
John Dee's Almanac
Needle To Door Time (part 1)
36
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Today, on this first day of the new year, I want to do something a bit different with that lump of NHS data I keep hacking at. We’ve had logistic regression models coming out of our ears for weeks on end and I don’t think there’s anything more I can squeeze out on this front other than endless model refinement with dwindling value.

The bottom line is that the vaccines appear to magically confer benefits for all manner of condition until you start to iron out the many sources of bias. After ironing all that stock and share-boosting hyper magic disappears and we are left with products that are ineffective in terms of reducing risk of acute respiratory conditions. Not only that but they appear to increase the risk of severe COVID leading to acute respiratory conditions. Incredible as this may seem in view of the “safe and effective” publicity campaign this is what rigorous statistical analysis of 18,000+ in-hospital deaths in a single NHS Trust actually tells us.

Every NHS Trust in the co…

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