Using ARIMA To Investigate COVID Death (part 5)
Cranking the handle on the latest daily data sitting in the UK GOV coronavirus dashboard
We arrive at a potentially juicy piece of analysis, being ARIMA modelling of daily certified COVID death across England for the period 23 May 2021 - 12 Jul 2022. Let’s start with a plot of the dependent variable:
Now that is the strangest time series for deaths I have ever seen! In addition to the expected 2021/22 winter peak we’ve got a summer peak, aut…