Baking Better With Cochrane-Orcutt (part 2)
Tackling serial correlation in generalised linear modelling of rolling 7-day new cases detected (rev 1.0)
Yesterday I talked about sausage rolls, tarts, tests, people tested and COVID case counts being a function of testing people. The spectre of serial correlation that had haunted my Pandemic En Croûte refused to go away and base model adequacy was called into question as we watched ρ-hat do a crazy hat dance.
To expect a pandemic to remain the same pandemi…