Exploring Excess Death (part 7)

I put down ONS weekly all cause registered death data for 2010/w1 – 2023/w52 and pick up daily in-hospital death data for 2017/w1 – 2021/w36 for an undisclosed NHS Trust once more

Back in part 1 of this series I kicked-off by looking at daily adult all cause in-hospital deaths held within an anonymised EPR extract I had been given from an undisclosed NHS Trust, the idea being to derive an estimate of ‘internal’ excess death. The results pleased me somewhat and so I ventured out on an exploration of weekly registered deaths for the nations of England & Wales, thence to derive several estimates of excess death using different techniques. Today I want to come full circle and go back to the EPR extract with a view to estimating excess death for acute respiratory conditions over the period 2017/w1 – 2021/w36. This is not my idea, mind, but the genius idea of a keen subscriber!

Folk are bound to ask what I mean by acute respiratory conditions and the answer to this has been given many times in several articles, suffice it to say it means life-threatening stuff like pneumonia, respiratory failure, respiratory arrest and ARDS (acute respiratory distress syndrome). It do…