John Dee's Almanac

John Dee's Almanac

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John Dee's Almanac
John Dee's Almanac
Exploring Excess Death (part 1)

Exploring Excess Death (part 1)

I investigate a sample of 57,557 adult in-hospital deaths for the period 2017/w1 – 2021/w36 for an undisclosed NHS Trust with a view to estimating ‘internal’ excess death

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John Dee
Feb 26, 2024
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John Dee's Almanac
John Dee's Almanac
Exploring Excess Death (part 1)
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Estimating excess death is tricky and an analyst acutely aware of this more than any other is Joel Smalley of Dead Man Talking. I recommend subscribers seek out his many excellent articles explaining how and why the authorities such as the Office for National Statistics (ONS) have got their underwear in a twist when it comes to producing estimates for the nation.

The super keen may wish to rummage through my own work in this area that kicked off in January 2022 with this article. Since then I’ve penned quite a few related articles including this series, this series, this series, this series, this series, this series, this series, and this series. You could say that I am a serial thriller. Perhaps not; it’s too early in the day for that!

An angle I thought I’d try this time round is to estimate excess death for the sample of 57,557 adult in-hospital deaths that I’m sitting on that cover the period 2017/w1 through to 2021/w36. I admit that adult in-hospital deaths within a single NHS Trus…

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