Exploring Excess Death (part 4)

I investigate alternative methods for estimating excess death using ONS weekly registration data from 2010 - 2023

In this article I am going to derive what I shall call the seasonal mean baseline. We observed strong seasonality in the exorcised time series of part 3 as well as the colourful factored line chart also therein. Today I’m going to take the pre-pandemic period of 2010 – 2019 and scrunch the death tally down into a single mean value per week of the year, …