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It is probably a whole new tray bake altogether but reading this made me wonder what effect weather extremes might have on seasonal deaths.

Of course this might also be done in your climate kitchen. In the UK my money would be on colder winters not hotter summers being the worst. If reliable records are available would winter 1947 top summer 1967?

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As it so happens I have this analysis and similar down in my big black book of recipes. Aside from the impact of weather on health I shall be looking at cosmic rays, sunspot activity and geomagnetism (among other things), and have access to a rather unique database. These will be big projects that I hope to roll out this summer.

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I've seen the recent figures for the recent increase in younger people's cancer mortality in the US, and they make grim reading. (from The Arrow) ..

The problem is with such small numbers of younger folks deaths (in the UK) , there are likely to be some serious annual variations, so really it might be better to look at ten year moving averages, not five, for younger age groups.

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Yes, the UK numbers will be rather wild and this is where Bayesian analysis shines.

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