Exploring Excess Death (part 8)

I change tack and explore ARIMA model residuals in time series modelling of ONS all cause weekly registered deaths for 2010 - 2023

An earlier comment by an astute subscriber got me thinking. They wanted to know what the pruned fragments for all cause registered death looked like back in part 3 when glued together as a series. We may think of this as the scraps of pastry that fall to the table as we trim our pie crust.

Whenever we produce a model – ARIMA or otherwise – we always end…