19 Comments

Wow! Present company excepted, it seems that the "Lies, d... lies and statistics" circus has been in full swing for some time!

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All very cunning. Set up a system to remove pneumonia as the leading cause of (seasonal) death then circumvent this ruling using an emergency ICD10 code and you can generate a pandemic whenever the time suits, especially if you water down the definition of a pandemic beforehand such that it no longer depends on elevated mortality and morbidity rates but detection of a novel agent. I'm going to start calling it the 'paperwork pandemic'!

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Perfect timing to roll out the pandemic treaty that is needed as much as a bad case of toothache under the guise of a health emergency that really wasn’t.

The whole thing is crazy putting this latest power grab on a whole other level.

The utter contempt and distain tptb show for the general public has alerted millions to look at government’s and these organisations in a whole other light, they’ve dug deep into who and what is going on and who is driving this total corruption.

Before Covid most things flew under the radar but when you start forcing, mandating, harassing and want to stick the none compliant and anyone asking questions in camp or completely silencing them in the media, you then raise an awareness that wasn’t around before.

I’ve been on the receiving end of hostility for not being jabbed, that hostility was driven by the Who, our governments and every scientist who sold their reputation for thirty pieces of silver. There’s a whole new level of so little trust of the medical profession who went and are still going along with this crap, people are still being fed lies and injecting with this junk that has zero benefit for anyone but pharma.

They seem to think that the entire nation has some sort of amnesia, we don’t! We remember the Nhs being overwhelmed every sodding winter prior to Covid.

Regardless of what coding they’ve used respiratory illnesses kill more through winter months than anything else. Anyone else on her remember people on trolleys in corridors in the 80’s due to the volume of flu, respiratory and pneumonia cases?

I remember it well and we had vastly more hospital beds with a much smaller population and yet overwhelming still happened.

My friend who works on spinal injuries says they still receive weekly emails at their hospital on how many Covid patients they have. You highlighting their code manipulations along with them still tagging Covid patients numbers shows what a farce the Nhs has become.

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I think only a possibility is sufficient for our HHS secretary to declare a health emergency.

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Hope you are soon back to good health by the way. How you can come up with all this with a fuzzy head I can't imagine!

Tried to send you a bowl of nourishing soup but it wouldn't fit in the envelope. And I'm sure Mrs Dee makes the best soup anyway

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“1929 (+29446 deaths, p<0.001) and 1951 (+14915 deaths, p<0.001)” However in Refined Flour 1851 is wiped off and 1929 becomes +16318 losing 13128 nearly the magnitude of 1951. I’m groggy and curious about this, or perhaps just curiously groggy. I thought adjusting for level shifts might affect numbers after the dates of the policy changes.

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The model structure for refined flour - ARIMA(1,1,0) - is different to that for Christmas cake - ARIMA(0,1,1) - and additionally incorporates CMR as a predictor. This will give rise to different residuals and thus estimates for outlying years. The time frame for the dependent variable also changes which will also alter estimates derived by ARIMA. In sum, these are apples and pears!

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Okay thank you.

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Also... CMR will be soaking up variance that will have been piled onto outlier years.

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Ah, less rum on the tongue then for the 1951 bite. Thanks.

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ARIMA modelling is not unlike trying to press the marzipan into the corners to ensure a perfectly square cake prior to icing.

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Oddly enough, speaking of flour, a few decades ago, public health experts in a Spanish port city were baffled by the apparently random spikes of asthma admissions and deaths. A young , bright doctor went to work on the problem, and eventually found they correlated perfectly with the arrival and unloading of flour at the docks, together with an onshore breeze.

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Well blow me down!

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By chance, I was a research interviewer on this Millennium cohort study: which gets a mention later down the article: these studies are are huge potential value:

Autism

Another concern is that air pollution can raise the risk of developing autism spectrum disorder. Several studies in the US suggested that there is a link to air pollution, but the results from a big European project found no connection. However, this research brought together results from different studies that used different methods, which may have affected the results.

Dr Juana Maria Delgado-Saborit, a visiting researcher at ISGlobal, hopes to help investigate this issue by using data on 18,000 children in the UK. These children are all part of the Millennium cohort study and have been regularly monitored and tested over the past two decades.

‘I thought that maybe with that big cohort there might be the chance to see if there is a real problem in UK and Europe, or if the Americans are seeing a difference because of the composition of the pollution,’ she said.

For a project called COGNAC, Dr Delgado-Saborit is using health information collected on the children up to the age of 14 to look for diagnoses of autism spectrum disorder or traits of the condition. By overlaying this information with maps of pollution during pregnancy and in their early years, she hopes to identify any potential links.

The analysis of the data is ongoing, but her early results suggest that there is a connection with levels of ozone in the air. Ozone is an irritant that is formed by a reaction involving nitrogen oxides and hydrocarbons, common pollutants from road

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Some day, it would be very nice if you could investigate Autism in children: its still a mystery, but comes at a vast cost to society, and in on the increase.

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Crikey, that is ambitious - and quite fabulous.

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