A statistical rummage through the data held on UK GOV servers that reveals a strong correlation between COVID-19 vaccination dosing and cleared new claims for Personal Independence Payments
I like your thinking. I did a study on this for HART and transpires that it is the unvaccinated who are unhealthy. Shout if you'd like to see the report!
There are many vaccines that can over-stimulate (cause immune system reaction) with too frequent jabbing. I’m thinking of the Tetanus jab for example. Step on a rusty nail and the tetanus jab is recommended. Several tetanus jabs in a 10 year period and many people get side effects. These new Covid vaccines have no equivalent over-dose and efficacy decay data. Long term effects of over-dosing are unknown. “Big-pharma” is far more interested in maximising profit than worrying about the over-dose effects of a small percentage of susceptible “nuisance” cohorts.
It is. Sometimes I sit and weep and Mrs Dee gives me a hug and bakes me a cake. I find death easier to contemplate more so than damaged people who trusted.
Why bother looking at cumulative doses at all, as opposed to the raw monthly counts? Is it that this potentially provides a better first-pass look which would be less sensitive to unknown nonuniform lags between vaccination and registering a claim?
When I wrote to Phinance about the same question in relation to the US analysis they had done, they replied with exactly that...ie that the wide and variable time from injection to adverse event made daily doses a problematic measure and cumulative doses a more reasonable approach.
Think of the vaccine 'impulse' - being broad and complex - as leaving a legacy that is even broader and far more complex. Chasing that big bugger relationship using weekly or monthly resolved data is going to a rather fraught affair!
So if doing a cumulative of the vaccines "compresses" an impulse, then maybe also do a cumulative of the claims to "compress" an effect. Then do the lag correlations of the cumulatives. Also, maybe smooth the cumulative curves and see if inflection points in one curve can predict (with a lag) inflection points in the other. The more responsive the smoothing function the more inflections points there may be to look at. HMA (Hull moving average) is used in day trading and is super responsive. I feel like this must be a generalized approach that already has a name.
Cumulative is basically taking an integral. And inflection point is basically taking a derivative. The two actions might be thought to cancel each other out, but I sense that isn't exactly true. Second derivative stuff might even say something.
Disabled living allowance as it was before being renamed as pip, does its best to haul you in and turf you off asap.
As we really don’t fully understand the long term effects and damage, it should really come as no surprise that peoples health has been damaged and is in a downward spiral.
I found that lockdown split in general folk into two camps, those that took the time and opportunity to improve their health and fitness, the second camp did bugger all other than binge on junk food from all the lovely crappy fast food places the government conveniently left open.
While I’ve no doubt there’s been damage done by the jabs I am wary of the mental health tsunami been projected. I say this as a parent of two teenagers who the school continually bombards with mental health suffering propaganda.
I find it unnecessary and annoying to be constantly reminding young people about suffering from anxiety and depression.
I do not suffer myself, I come from a family with family members who have suffered from a wide range from mania depression to full on nervous breakdown.
I’ve always been open with the kids about the possibility of them needing help and to not fear or be ashamed in coming to us.
Their school did actually ring me during lockdown to ask me how the kids mental health was, I find the obsession with labelling and pigeonholing our young section of society a tad sinister and I’m not the only parent to find it so.
We know lockdown was horrendous for so many people, however we need to tread carefully by not lumping those who have suffered neurological damage from the jabs with those who were basically tortured by our government.
Brilliant. I especially liked the preface which captures much of the rational questioning you would expect ordinary, honest people to be posing of the agencies before they even get to the numbers.
Going through your custom FOI DOD data and have found one reason why young death appears to be under-reported. Take a look at the coding of chapter XX (V01 - Y98) external causes of morbidity and mortality over time and you'll see these codes die away as if they can't be bothered. This is where RTA/farm/factory/sporting accidents end up.
Austin Bradford Hill: The environment and disease: Association of Causation.
What aspects of association between two variables (correlation) should be considered to decide that the most likely interpretation is causation? Paraphrased from the original.
1) Strength of association: Is there is a large difference between the subject and reference data? However, the possibility of cause-and-effect should not be dismissed merely because the observed association is slight.
2) Consistency: Is the effect observed by other people, in different place, circumstances and times?
3) Specificity: Is the association limited to specific conditions, particular regions and particular diseases?
4) Temporality: Which is the cart and which the horse? Does the effect always occur after and event?
5) Biological gradient: Is there a “dose-response” relationship?
6) Plausibility: Is the hypothesis plausible? However, it not a requirement since the association may new.
7) Coherence: Does the cause and effect interpretation conflict with generally known facts?
Is there correlation and causation associated with mRNA vaccines used to prevent SARS-CoV-2?
Do mRNA vaccines cause injury?
Criteria 1: Yes! Comparing death rates and various injuries before and after vaccination shows very large increases.
Criteria 2: Yes! A relationship between death rates and specific injuries (myocarditis, blood clots etc) is seen in USA, UK and other countries.
Criteria 3: Yes! There is evidence that where conventional vaccines rather than mRNA vaccines are used there is not evidence of higher rates of injuries and deaths.
Criteria 4: Yes! In each study the increased death occur shortly after vaccination (especially second dose).
Criteria 5: Yes! There are strong relationships, i.e. correlations between vaccination rates and death and injury rates in various countries
Criteria 6: Yes! Many pharmaceuticals and vaccines have been found to be damaging to humans.
Criteria 7: Yes! There are many studies that show damage caused by vaccines, and some have been taken of the market due to injury.
Sobering figures. Well at least the IFS has looked into it, which is more than anyone has done for sudden deaths.
They put it down to a general worsening of the health of the population for which the reasons are beyond the scope of their report.
https://ifs.org.uk/sites/default/files/2022-12/The-number-of-new-disability-claimants-has-doubled-in-a-year-IFS-report-R233%20%281%29.pdf
A general worsening that correlates with dosing, eh? Must be a coincidence!
Maybe it’s only the unhealthy people who get vaccinated.
I like your thinking. I did a study on this for HART and transpires that it is the unvaccinated who are unhealthy. Shout if you'd like to see the report!
It was written with tongue in cheek. I’ve heard of the healthy vaccinee effect.
You scamp! LOL
Excellent work as always. Thank you.
There are many vaccines that can over-stimulate (cause immune system reaction) with too frequent jabbing. I’m thinking of the Tetanus jab for example. Step on a rusty nail and the tetanus jab is recommended. Several tetanus jabs in a 10 year period and many people get side effects. These new Covid vaccines have no equivalent over-dose and efficacy decay data. Long term effects of over-dosing are unknown. “Big-pharma” is far more interested in maximising profit than worrying about the over-dose effects of a small percentage of susceptible “nuisance” cohorts.
I feel sick. It’s horrible.
It is. Sometimes I sit and weep and Mrs Dee gives me a hug and bakes me a cake. I find death easier to contemplate more so than damaged people who trusted.
Why bother looking at cumulative doses at all, as opposed to the raw monthly counts? Is it that this potentially provides a better first-pass look which would be less sensitive to unknown nonuniform lags between vaccination and registering a claim?
When I wrote to Phinance about the same question in relation to the US analysis they had done, they replied with exactly that...ie that the wide and variable time from injection to adverse event made daily doses a problematic measure and cumulative doses a more reasonable approach.
You got it. The game is to see through the noise. Today I'll be looking at lags and raw counts using a few different spanners.
Think of the vaccine 'impulse' - being broad and complex - as leaving a legacy that is even broader and far more complex. Chasing that big bugger relationship using weekly or monthly resolved data is going to a rather fraught affair!
So if doing a cumulative of the vaccines "compresses" an impulse, then maybe also do a cumulative of the claims to "compress" an effect. Then do the lag correlations of the cumulatives. Also, maybe smooth the cumulative curves and see if inflection points in one curve can predict (with a lag) inflection points in the other. The more responsive the smoothing function the more inflections points there may be to look at. HMA (Hull moving average) is used in day trading and is super responsive. I feel like this must be a generalized approach that already has a name.
Cumulative is basically taking an integral. And inflection point is basically taking a derivative. The two actions might be thought to cancel each other out, but I sense that isn't exactly true. Second derivative stuff might even say something.
Disabled living allowance as it was before being renamed as pip, does its best to haul you in and turf you off asap.
As we really don’t fully understand the long term effects and damage, it should really come as no surprise that peoples health has been damaged and is in a downward spiral.
I found that lockdown split in general folk into two camps, those that took the time and opportunity to improve their health and fitness, the second camp did bugger all other than binge on junk food from all the lovely crappy fast food places the government conveniently left open.
While I’ve no doubt there’s been damage done by the jabs I am wary of the mental health tsunami been projected. I say this as a parent of two teenagers who the school continually bombards with mental health suffering propaganda.
I find it unnecessary and annoying to be constantly reminding young people about suffering from anxiety and depression.
I do not suffer myself, I come from a family with family members who have suffered from a wide range from mania depression to full on nervous breakdown.
I’ve always been open with the kids about the possibility of them needing help and to not fear or be ashamed in coming to us.
Their school did actually ring me during lockdown to ask me how the kids mental health was, I find the obsession with labelling and pigeonholing our young section of society a tad sinister and I’m not the only parent to find it so.
We know lockdown was horrendous for so many people, however we need to tread carefully by not lumping those who have suffered neurological damage from the jabs with those who were basically tortured by our government.
Brilliant. I especially liked the preface which captures much of the rational questioning you would expect ordinary, honest people to be posing of the agencies before they even get to the numbers.
Cheers Joel. I'm trying to set aside time to run the ARIMA towels over your FOI DOD data but keep getting distracted!
Going through your custom FOI DOD data and have found one reason why young death appears to be under-reported. Take a look at the coding of chapter XX (V01 - Y98) external causes of morbidity and mortality over time and you'll see these codes die away as if they can't be bothered. This is where RTA/farm/factory/sporting accidents end up.
Austin Bradford Hill: The environment and disease: Association of Causation.
What aspects of association between two variables (correlation) should be considered to decide that the most likely interpretation is causation? Paraphrased from the original.
1) Strength of association: Is there is a large difference between the subject and reference data? However, the possibility of cause-and-effect should not be dismissed merely because the observed association is slight.
2) Consistency: Is the effect observed by other people, in different place, circumstances and times?
3) Specificity: Is the association limited to specific conditions, particular regions and particular diseases?
4) Temporality: Which is the cart and which the horse? Does the effect always occur after and event?
5) Biological gradient: Is there a “dose-response” relationship?
6) Plausibility: Is the hypothesis plausible? However, it not a requirement since the association may new.
7) Coherence: Does the cause and effect interpretation conflict with generally known facts?
Is there correlation and causation associated with mRNA vaccines used to prevent SARS-CoV-2?
Do mRNA vaccines cause injury?
Criteria 1: Yes! Comparing death rates and various injuries before and after vaccination shows very large increases.
Criteria 2: Yes! A relationship between death rates and specific injuries (myocarditis, blood clots etc) is seen in USA, UK and other countries.
Criteria 3: Yes! There is evidence that where conventional vaccines rather than mRNA vaccines are used there is not evidence of higher rates of injuries and deaths.
Criteria 4: Yes! In each study the increased death occur shortly after vaccination (especially second dose).
Criteria 5: Yes! There are strong relationships, i.e. correlations between vaccination rates and death and injury rates in various countries
Criteria 6: Yes! Many pharmaceuticals and vaccines have been found to be damaging to humans.
Criteria 7: Yes! There are many studies that show damage caused by vaccines, and some have been taken of the market due to injury.
Michael Cook 17/1/2023.
Quite superb. This has made my day!